The NFL Draft
The NFL Draft is mere minutes away, at this writing, and once again copious amounts of hot gasses have been released into the atmosphere (culminating on Earth Day, no less) in the speculative pursuit of predicting not just which players will be worth a damn over the course of their football careers, but which players will be picked in which order, and by which teams, and to what benefit.
The local eleven, the Seahawks, have been sad-sacks the last two years - the good news being that they're ineptitude has earned them the sixth pick in the draft, and their business acumen has helped them acquire the 14th pick (from Denver) as well.
With new coach Pete Carroll in place, as well as a rookie General Manager, we could assume to have no legitimate idea what direction the team will be going in. Evidence of this has already been observed by their recent acquisition of one Charlie Whitehurst, obscure and unproven, to be the heir apparent at QB for the aging Matt Hasselbeck.
Teams spend hundreds of hours and thousands of dollars trying their best to judge the meat on the hoof.
Yet if time's perspective teaches us anything, it's that one of the hardest things to do in all of sports is evaluate talent.
For every so-called sure-fire, can't miss, take-it-to-the-bank, mortal-lock sort of superstar-to-be, every general manager, in every sport, is capable of breaking out into a cold sweat at the mere mention of these two words: Ryan Leaf.
With all the television time given in advance to each year's draft, for all the notoriety that has come Mel Kiper's way, just once I'd like to see ESPN put together a program showing each first round selection from the NFL draft of five years ago (complete with pre-selection speculation and post-selection commentary as it was aired live at the time).
Chances are some of those selections have become household names.
While others have rapidly morphed from being a who's-who to a who's he?
Take everything that happens today with a grain of salt. The pick you love may not be around in three years, while the guy you've never heard of could be giving a speech in Canton in twenty years.
For the record, I don't like Clausen, the Notre Dame QB (have the Irish produced any decent NFL QB's since Joe Montana?).
I do think Central Michigan's lanky QB Dan LeFevour has what it takes to succeed on Sundays, given sufficient time holding a clipboard and learning the trade.
Cincinnati had a nice wide receiver name Mardy Gilyard who seems plenty talented.
The 'Hawks need to improve their offensive line. A big ol' tackle appears to be what the doctor would order for them – although CJ Spiller, an electric RB/KR from Clemson, would be a sexy pick if he's still on the board when they pick at fourteen.
One thing's certain. We won't know anything right away.
It may take five years to find out if anybody knew what they were doing here in 2010.
There's no question about it.